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    6. 三戰風雲-新形勢下的台海危機

    三戰風雲-新形勢下的台海危機

    Author 亓樂義
    Publisher 黎明文化
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    Released
    2008/07/01
    Language
    Traditional Chinese
    File format
    PDF (39MB), fit in large screen and Pubook
    Pages
    314
    ID
    19720
    ISBN
    9789571607795
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    未來如果兩岸發生戰爭,那將會是一場有別於以往的戰爭。很可能有衝突而沒有硝煙,有交手而沒有流血,表面上威懾不斷,實際則是一場全民意志、高層鬥智和執政當局對威脅是否做出正確判斷和反應的對決,這種形式的戰爭,稱之為「三戰」(輿論戰、心理戰、法律戰),也是當前和未來中共對台攻略成本最小、收益最大的戰爭形式。

      本書作者試圖為讀者提供一個新的視角,並描繪兩岸萬一發生衝突所可能出現的情境,以推演中共如何對台展開「三戰」,尤其不可少的是對中共決策過程的描述,先有戰略指導,才有後續的戰役和戰術策劃,這一點往往被人所忽略。最後作者於書中亦提供讀者從第一手資料,找到自己對「三戰」的詮釋,建立心防而不為所惑,實深具全民國防的教育意義。全書內容結構完整,情節緊湊精采,實堪稱為一部模擬兩岸軍事衝突情境的經典名著。

      本書承蒙國防部前軍政副部長林中斌先生、立法委員帥化民先生、立法院外交及國防委員會召集委員林郁方先生、前立法委員李文忠先生、淡江大學美國研究所所長黃介正博士、中華民國高等政策研究協會秘書長楊念祖博士等人作序聯合推薦。
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    推薦序
    作者序

    引 言 新形勢下的台海危機∕01 9
    展開演練∕022 新的作戰形態∕026

    序幕 探險首航∕033
    飛越中線∕036

    第一幕 暗潮洶湧∕041
    搶旗醜態∕043 反中民意高漲∕048
    對台武備∕045 全球發聲∕052
    美中貿易衝突∕046

    第二幕 驚動中南海∕061
    主席批示∕062 不放棄動武∕072
    形勢匯報∕065 經濟制裁?∕075
    特殊觀察員∕068 軍委內參∕077
    關心國軍立場∕071 決策拍板∕079

    第三幕 三條戰線∕085
    外交戰線∕088 三戰領導小組∕095
    對台戰線∕091 「一一三工程」(非戰爭軍事行動)∕098
    對台戰略新視角∕093 非戰爭軍事行動∕100
    軍事戰線∕094 X專業信息部隊∕102

    第四幕 啟動「三戰」∕107
    外交先至∕108
    中美共管台海危機∕110
    解鈴還須繫鈴人∕112
    間接路線∕115
    東京密談∕118
    第一類接觸∕120
    百般示好∕124
    對台聲明∕127
    見縫插針∕128
    「紅卡」效應∕129
    飛越中線∕131
    酒泉迎賓∕135
    敲山震虎∕138
    拒止美軍介入台海∕140
    臨戰演練∕142
    輿論戰場在西方∕146
    開放導彈基地∕148
    黃山論劍∕151
    核武威懾∕154
    攻擊航母∕157

    第五幕 走上協商∕165
    探險首航∕167
    千鈞一髮∕171
    險些開戰∕175
    三戰火力全開∕179
    柔性攻勢∕181
    華府密談∕185
    第四公報∕188
    白宮決策∕191
    撤僑準備∕195
    洩漏天機∕196
    西沙臨檢∕198
    走上協商∕204

    總結 理論對照情節∕209
    「三戰」起源與背景∕212
    「三戰」本質內涵∕215
    《條例》中的「三戰」∕217
    「三戰」定義與相互關係∕218
    「三戰」運用原則∕222
    「三戰」與職責機關∕224
    「三戰」基本戰法∕227
    「三戰」存在問題∕236

    主要參考書目∕241
    附件一
    中共中央關於頒布《中國人民解放軍政治工作條例》的通知∕246
    附件二
    關於二○○七年人民武裝工作意見—中共泰州市海陵區委鳳凰路街道工作委員會∕304
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    亓樂義

      資深軍事記者,美國北德州大學國際關係碩士,近二十年的大陸採訪經驗,國防部民國九十三年(二○○四)、九十五年(二○○六)、九十六年(二○○八)國防報告書編纂委員會諮詢委員。

      著有《高雄戰略-看台澎防衛作戰新思維》(與傅慰孤合著)、《捍衛行動-一九九六台海飛彈危機風雲錄》(「永固專案」部分紀實,黎明文化出版)等書。
    目前任職於中國時報。
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    Details

    Released
    2008/07/01
    Language
    Traditional Chinese
    File format
    PDF: Fit in large screen
    Provide Adobe DRM
    Provide PDF
    Offer DRM free license
    Yes
    ID
    19720
    ISBN
    9789571607795

    法律戰

    心理戰

    輿論戰

    台海危機

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    孟子

      

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