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    6. 頂尖情報員的高效判讀術:立辨真偽、快速反應、精準決策的10個技巧

    頂尖情報員的高效判讀術:立辨真偽、快速反應、精準決策的10個技巧

    Author 城邦文化
    Publisher 城邦文化 /商周出版
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    Released
    2021/01/12
    Language
    Traditional Chinese
    File format
    EPUB Reflowable (1MB), fit in all devices and Pubook
    Pages
    468
    ID
    226736
    ISBN
    9789864779765
    Provide Adobe DRM
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    Campaign 思辨年代,以閱讀啟程 | 商周×啟示 全書系書展7折起
    Hot topics 使用情報員判讀真偽的SEES分析模型,做出英明決定!

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    • Intro

    結合真實案例經驗與學術智慧,
    用情報員的方式分辨真偽、果斷決策!

    情報員最重要的職責就是分辨情報的真偽,藉此預測最精確的世界局勢與決定行動。
    在當今假資料橫行的數位年代,我們天天被許多矛盾、不完整的資訊轟炸,面對的挑戰及做決定的困難程度,已不亞於掌握國家安危的政府機構。
    我們需要更有效的方式來提昇決策品質。

    本書運用情報單位和學術機構最前沿的知識與技術,向讀者解說如何應用情報員的思考方法與SEES分析模型:

    ●S:狀況認知──知悉周遭所發生的事情,觀察自己所面對的情勢。
    ●E:解釋──分析我們為何觀察到這些事情,涉事人士有何動機。
    ●E:評估──預測在各種假設下,事件會如何發展。
    ●S:戰略性關注──瞭解有可能對我們造成長期挑戰的未來議題。

    本書並以911事件、美國2016年總統大選疑雲、伊拉克戰爭、福克蘭群島戰爭、五眼聯盟……等真實案例解釋SEES分析模型、交叉檢驗與運用之道,
    讓我們能不受他人影響,在不完整的資料中取得對情況的察知,在侷限和偏見中進行評估,並且更妥善地掌握意外元素。

    如果我們能夠應用情報機關的思考方式分辨真偽,我們可以具備更高的分析能力和敏銳度,以清晰頭腦分辨真假資訊,
    便可讓我們在人生大事上做出果斷英明的決定。
    本書是你在情報迷宮中判讀實情、精確評估、擬定對策的最佳指南!

    【專業推薦】
    盧希鵬/台科大資訊管理系教授 
    楊斯棓/醫師&《人生路引》作者
    馬爾康.芮夫金/英國前國防部長
    彼得.里基茨/英國前國安顧問
    萊昂內爾.巴伯/《金融時報》前主編
    勞倫斯.佛里德曼/倫敦國王學院戰爭研究系榮譽教授

    「英國沒人比奧蒙德擁有更多情報機構及其運作方式的知識與經驗,他還罕見地能以簡明易懂的方式,向讀者說明情報員的技術及分析原始情報的模式。」──馬爾康.芮夫金(Malcolm Rifkind),英國前國防部長

    「英國間諜的能耐舉世聞名,這本書讓我們得以其成功秘訣之一,即嚴謹地區分事實與虛假。這項技能可以幫助所有人在生活中做出更好的決策。」──彼得.里基茨(Peter Ricketts),英國前國安顧問

    「本書由情報界頂尖前輩所撰,提供現代情報學難得公開的行事方式與邏輯思維等洞見,實為珍貴之作。」──萊昂內爾.巴伯(Lionel Barber),《金融時報》前主編

    「奧蒙德對情報學歷史及其技術有著深入的瞭解,對任何想要像情報員一樣思考的讀者,本書是無價之寶。」──勞倫斯.佛里德曼(Lawrence Freedman),倫敦國王學院戰爭研究系榮譽教授
    More
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    Details

    Released
    2021/01/12
    Language
    Traditional Chinese
    File format
    EPUB: Fit in all devices
    Provide Adobe DRM
    Provide EPUB
    Offer DRM free license
    No
    ID
    226736
    ISBN
    9789864779765

    大衛.奧蒙德

    商周出版

    職場工作

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