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    Newest volume

    中國如何攻打臺灣

    Found 1 match

    Author余杰

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    Company大是文化

    「每一次的戰爭,總在被侵略者還沒做好充分準備時就打響了。」 ——作者/余杰 ‧武力封鎖、先攻外島、直占本島,中國攻臺,哪種路徑「最可行」? ‧「當年打不下金門,如今用高粱酒買金門。」以商逼政,就可以兵不血刃。 ‧「臺灣有事就是日本有事」。美軍馳援最快也得17天,日本要多久才會到? ‧先取東沙,再拿澎湖,到時候澎湖10萬人口就是中國最好的「人質」。 作者余杰是北京大學碩士,被譽為兩岸三地「最敢說真話」的作家, 2004年他和劉曉波等人共同起草「中國年度人權報告」,遭到非法軟禁數月; 2012年他攜妻兒出走美國,目前定居華盛頓。 2016年起,余杰每年必訪臺灣,走遍各縣市包括外島,視臺灣為第二故鄉, 寫下5卷本的《臺灣民主地圖》系列、《從順民到公民:與民主台灣同行》 等多部以臺灣為主題的著述。 儘管國際社會和臺灣內部對中國是否真會攻臺有諸多討論, 但余杰認為,更恰當的問題是:中國會以何種方式武統? 武力封鎖、先攻外島、直占本島,哪種路徑「最可行」? 臺灣一旦遭受攻擊,又該如何防守? 他長期研究歷史的背景及三地生活經驗,最能完整詮釋這場 中、美、臺不斷角力的「新三國」。 ◎攻臺時間點?歷史上三加四場戰爭有答案。 所有戰爭都有跡可循,余杰從歷史上三場著名的國際戰爭: 伊拉克併吞科威特、阿根廷侵略福克蘭群島、俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭, 以及中共建政後四場對外戰爭: 韓戰、中印邊境戰爭、中蘇珍寶島衝突、中越戰爭的規律── 預測中共攻臺時間點和可能行徑。 ◎對臺動武三劇本,哪種最可能?  .封鎖海域,取代開戰。   臺灣對小麥和玉米的進口依存度很高,煤礦存量也只能撐36天。   中國也可直接剪斷15條臺灣連外海底電纜,進行資訊封鎖, (烏克蘭有馬斯克的星鏈幫忙,臺灣呢?)   此法被美國智庫專家稱為最有效果的「灰色地帶戰術」。    .先攻外島,澎湖是人質還是阻礙?     先取東沙再拿澎湖,澎湖10萬人口是最好的「人質」;     澎湖一失,臺灣將無險可守。當年施琅攻臺就「先打澎湖」,     習近平若想學康熙收復臺灣,誰會是他的施琅?    .最後一招是渡海、搶灘、巷戰,三階段占領本島。     水淺浪險的臺灣海峽是天然屏障,但相對也是軍備補給的阻礙,     等待美軍馳援至少要花17天,臺灣島民有辦法奮戰到援軍趕到嗎? ◎美日會為臺灣一戰?來得及嗎? 疑美論認為,美國從阿富汗撤軍,也沒有真的派兵支援烏克蘭, 所以絕對不會幫臺灣打中國……。 但坐視中國侵占臺灣,就等於宣告「美利堅治世」將告終結, 美國勢必出手。只是, 中國戰艦數量已居世界第一,美軍真有能力護臺到最後? 滲透黨政軍、以商逼政、軍演恫嚇,渡海、搶灘、巷戰…… 臺灣怎麼防?美日怎麼幫?來得及嗎? 最知美、知中、知臺的余杰,從歷史、戰略角度, 看美、中、臺新三國攻防。
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    紙本書

    中國如何攻打臺灣

    大是文化
    余杰

    中國如何攻打臺灣:滲透黨政軍、...

    大是文化
    余杰
    eBook NT$322 紙本書 NT$230
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