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    6. 完整解析趨勢線交易技術
    用120張圖看懂股市撐壓基本功

    完整解析趨勢線交易技術

    Author 麻道明
    Publisher 大樂文化
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    Released
    2025/03/21
    Language
    Traditional Chinese
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    Pages
    483
    ID
    574283
    ISBN
    9786267422915
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    • Intro

    ★用數據與案例告訴你,為什麼趨勢這麼值得研究
    ★這本技術分析實戰指南,幫你察覺股市風險,掌握獲利關鍵


    閱讀本書就能學會:
    如何判斷趨勢線訊號被突破?幅度大於3%、連續站穩3天。
    如何結合趨勢線與其他技術指標?看均線位置、成交量是否放大。
    如何在市場情緒的影響下保持冷靜,並做出理性決策。


    威廉•歐尼爾(CANSLIM策略發明人)說:「股市贏家只關注趨勢,而不是新聞。」
    納西姆•塔雷伯(《黑天鵝效應》作者)指出:「不確定性是市場的唯一確定性。
    本書教你專注於趨勢線的真正力量,不被市場噪音干擾,並且讓你在不確定中找到操作依據,將風險最小化。

    ★★為何散戶會成為主力收割的對象?
    大多數的散戶缺乏足夠的分析能力和心理素質,過度關注短期價格波動,忽略了趨勢的整體結構和長期價值。於是,主力資金利用人性的恐懼和貪婪,設置股市陷阱,吸走了散戶的財富。
    舉例來說,主力會透過低價吸籌,當價格突破趨勢線時,散戶因貪婪追漲,主力則悄然出貨而獲利。其實,趨勢線是投資者集體心理的映射,散戶可以學習趨勢線的知識,並搭配成交量和其他技術指標,來做投資判斷,就不會吃虧成為股市陷阱的犧牲品。

    ★★學習趨勢線的基礎理論與應用
    ◎趨勢線的作用
    趨勢線是技術分析中的基本工具,透過連接價格的高點或低點,反映市場價格的運行方向。它提供支撐與壓力的參考,幫助判斷市場趨勢的方向和強弱,作為買賣點的依據。
    【上升趨勢線】連接多個價格低點,反映多頭市場的力量。
    【下降趨勢線】連接多個價格高點,揭示空頭市場的壓力。
    【水平趨勢線】價格在某個範圍內波動,顯示市場處於震盪整理階段。

    ◎趨勢線的繪製
    •準確的趨勢線要至少連接兩個有效的高點或低點,三點以上會更可靠。
    •趨勢線的角度應當適中,過於陡峭容易被突破,過於平緩則參考價值較低。

    ★★趨勢線運用中的常見陷阱
    ◎假突破陷阱:這是最常見的股市陷阱,主力利用價格突破趨勢線來誘導散戶追漲或殺跌,隨後迅速反向操作使散戶陷入虧損。
    【案例】某檔股票的價格在上升趨勢線附近震盪整理,某日放量突破上方壓力線,看似將進入新一波輪漲勢,但隨後價格迅速回落,形成新的低點。
    【原因】成交量未能有效放大,突破缺乏支撐。主力用假突破吸引散戶入場後反向操作。
    【因應】觀察突破後價格能否穩定在趨勢線以上數日,並結合成交量和其他指標來研判。

    ◎假支撐陷阱:主力在支撐位附近用小幅反彈製造假象,吸引散戶買入後快速砸盤。
    【案例】某檔股票在下降趨勢中反彈至支撐線附近,成交量溫和放大。不少散戶以為價格回穩而紛紛買入,但股價很快跌破支撐線並持續下跌。
    【原因】主力在支撐位附近減倉出貨。市場整體處於弱勢,支撐力度不足。
    【因應】關注支撐位的歷史測試次數,多次測試後支撐力通常會削弱。密切留意大盤環境,確保市場總體趨勢與個股方向一致。

    ★★破解股市陷阱的策略和技巧
    ◎精準應用趨勢線
    •結合成交量分析:趨勢線被突破時,為了確認訊號的有效性,成交量至少要達到前期平均水準的多少倍?
    •搭配均線分析:均線多頭排列時,趨勢線的支撐作用更可靠。
    •關注多次測試點:趨勢線經過越多次測試且被有效突破,越有參考價值。
    •綜合運用多種指標:MACD、RSI等指標與趨勢線結合,能提高訊號的可靠性。例如:RSI在50以上時,上升趨勢的有效性更高。

    ◎提升應變風險的能力
    •增強風險意識:磨練市場分析能力,可以減少掉進陷阱的機率。
    •多角度分析訊號:不要只依賴趨勢線,分析時需結合基本面、訊息面和市場情緒。
    •合理停損:在趨勢線附近設置停損點,即使誤觸陷阱也能將損耗降至最低。

    ◎學會面對市場情緒
    •控制情緒:控制自己的恐懼和貪婪,並制定科學的交易計畫。
    •隨時保持警戒:在趨勢線突破時,不要立即行動,應觀察後續走勢與量價配合。
    •制定長期策略:將趨勢線作為長期趨勢判斷的工具,避免短期操作中受到情緒影響。

    ★★結合趨勢線與其他技術指標
    ◎結合成交量:成交量是驗證趨勢線突破真偽的關鍵指標
    •突破時成交量放大:突破的有效性提高,價格可能進一步延續。
    •突破時成交量縮小:可能是主力製造的假突破。

    ◎結合MACD:MACD是常用的趨勢指標,與趨勢線結合能提供更可靠的操作訊號。
    •趨勢線突破┼MACD黃金交叉:買入訊號強。
    •趨勢線跌破┼MACD死亡交叉:賣出訊號強。


    ★推薦對象:
    •投資新手:能有系統的學習技術分析,避免進入常見陷阱。
    •散戶:可以建立理性交易系統,不再因情緒影響交易。
    •職業交易者:可以提升技術分析能力,增強判斷的準確性。
    More
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    Details

    Released
    2025/03/21
    Language
    Traditional Chinese
    File format
    EPUB: Fit in all devices
    Provide Adobe DRM
    Provide EPUB
    Offer DRM free license
    No
    ID
    574283
    ISBN
    9786267422915

    趨勢線

    技術分析

    股市

    均線

    成交量

    主力

    散戶

    假突破

    支撐位

    MACD

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